G-7 AND NATO,--NO MORE RELEVANT.

 .

BY K P PASWAN

With a new man in the Oval Office, international politics has entered into an era of neurotic polarization and a period of uncertainty. It is virtually impossible, even for a seasoned diplomat, to predict events to come. Recent example is meeting of seven rich countries in a city of UK, where Coronavirus of Delta plus variant is rampant. These groups also consisted of two nations, which are not only economically sick but don’t carry much weight in international politics, these countries are UK and Italy, UK has become curable sick man of Europe, while Italy does not know how to prevent impeding economic doom, after it suffered heavy causalities during the first wave of coronavirus.

 Then there were representatives from EU, whose one-point agenda was to admire Germany and condemn China and Russia. Only France may be regarded as a politically sensitive country, knowing how to behave in a bi polar politics. It is also not known, on what basis Canada was invited? Rumors were set afloat in Washington that Justin Trudeau was in UK to lend support to Joe Biden, in case of urgent need. It may be noted that Donald Trump called Trudeau  an unworthy politician, but Joe Biden needs support of Canada to implement its undefined policy to China and Russia.  Group of Seven leaders  scolded, Beijing over a range of issues including exporting Coronavirus. This criticism may betreated  as gross interference in the country's internal affairs.

Any way these countries were pleased to see old Boris Johnson making noises as he recovered from Covid19. Group denounced China, a new enemy to democracy and Russia as threat to modern world. Neither China nor Russia is posing threat to any country. Modern China was made by Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger and post Coronavirus, China has become a leading economic power, threatening the age-old monopoly of small, but developed European nations to dictate the politics of the world. 

The G 7 condemned and slandered China for human rights violations against Uighur Muslims. Who are these Uighur Muslims? They are as dangerous as ISIS and Taliban and taking advantage of limited freedom of speech in China, they are dreaming of carving a separate sovereign state in China, but to utter dismay to Group7, no Islamic state lend sincere support to the cause of Uighur. These Uighur may also be equated with stone pelters of Kashmir valley in India, the only difference is that along with stones, Uighur also use knives to kill innocent people. 

Turkey and Egypt have extradition treaty with China, and a few Uighur terrorists had been deported to China, by these two Islamic nations. These Muslims states are aware of Pakistan support to Uighur. A large number of Pakistanis have entered into matrimonial alliance with Uighur Muslim girls. It is to be noted that China is regularly expelling Pakistani students for preaching hate speech, but these are not highlighted in western media.

Talibans,who recently captured  Afghanistan, do not support Uighur as they are afraid of losing logistic support of China.

 China is witnessing surge of Tibetan style of Buddhism and a majority of Chinese have developed great liking for Buddhism and in near future, bloody sectarian conflict between Uighur and Chinese Buddhists are expected, as is being witnessed in Myanmar and SriLanka. 

 American and Western MNCs are involved in exploiting the Uighur Muslims and their sufferings may be attributed to greedy money launderers of US and western countries. Main problems with Uighur are that they won’t accept assimilation with Chinese society, this is also happening in France, UK, and Germany, which have surrendered to radicals and UK has become fertile ground for producing dangerous religious based terrorists. Several Islamic countries have openly accused UK of indirectly supporting and patronizing Wahhabi.

In bipolar world, it is time to realize that countries, big or small, strong or weak, poor or rich, are equals, and that world affairs should be handled through consultation by all countries The G7 leaders took China to task over human rights violations in the heavily Muslim region of Xinjiang, called for Hong Kong to keep a high degree of autonomy and underscored the importance of peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait - all highly sensitive issues for Beijing The re-emergence of China as a leading global power is considered to be one of the most significant geopolitical events of recent times, alongside the 1991 fall of the Soviet Union that ended the Cold War.

The G7, whose leaders met in southwestern England, has been searching for a coherent response to the growing assertiveness of President Xi Jinping after China's spectacular economic and military rise post pandemic. It is China which is progressing with 25%increase in exports, giving night marish sleep to political heads of western countries

Leaders of the group - the United States, Canada, Britain, Germany, Italy, France and Japan - used their gathering in the English seaside resort of Carbis Bay to show the world that the richest democracies can offer an alternative to China's growing clout. That is a false assumption as only US and Russia are in a position to contain China.

 But how to browbeat China? No country suggested any worthy solution. Canada is afraid of ethnic Chinese population, which may attain majority, putting Canada’s sovereignty in jeopardy.

The G7 are planning to offer developing nations an infrastructure scheme, that could rival Xi's multi-trillion-dollar Belt and Road initiative. It is nothing but frustration of the so called rich and developed countries.

Biden, who arrived at the summit after three days of consulting with Group of Seven allies , called out, what it said were forced labor practices and other human rights violations impacting Uighur Muslims and other ethnic minorities in the western Xinjiang province. The president said he was satisfied with the communique, although differences remain among the allies about how forcefully to criticize Beijing.

Biden also used his eight-day trip to Europe to urge allies to work more closely in pressing Russian President Vladimir Putin over his government’s treatment of political dissidents and to do more to stem cyber-attacks originating from Russia, that have targeted private companies and governments around the globe. Perhaps Biden had Alex Navalny in mind. Navalny is a prominent money launderer and economic offender of Russia and has emerged as a main political rival of Putin. But Navalny is a weak political leader, idolized only by Germany and hated by most of Russians.

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization is an alliance of European countries, formed after World War II, as a bulwark against Russian aggression. The new Brussels communique states plainly that the NATO nations will engage China with a view to defending the security interests of the alliance. But as Biden faced with the G-7 communique, some allies bristled at the NATO effort to speak out on China.

 NATO’s decision to name China as a threat shouldn’t be overstated because Beijing, like Russia, is also a partner in some areas. China is Germany’s top trading partner and Dorothy Angela Merkel is heavily dependent on Russia, in fulfilling the country’s energy requirement. It is important to find the right balance as China is also a partner on many issues.

It is very important, to make the offer of political discussions, political discourse, in order to come up with solutions. But where there are threats?, they are in the hybrid field too.  France’s President Emmanuel Macron urged the alliance not to let China, distract it from what he saw as more pressing issues facing NATO is facing pressing issues like  fighting against religion based terrorism. It is crystal clear the G-7 and NATO, deliberately slandered China and arbitrarily interfered in China’s internal affairs, and exposed the sinister intentions of a few countries.

Biden arrived at his first NATO summit as president, and as leading members declared it a pivotal moment for an alliance beleaguered during the presidency of Donald Trump, who questioned the relevance of the multilateral organization. Shortly after arriving at the alliance’s headquarters for the first NATO summit of his presidency, Biden sat down with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg and underscored the U.S. commitment to various Articles  of the alliance charter, which spells out that an attack on one member is an attack on all and is to be met with a collective response.

 Without elaborating, Joe Biden declared that America is there. It was a sharp shift in tone from the past four years, when Trump called the alliance, obsolete and complained that it allowed for global freeloading countries to spend less on military defense at the expense of the US. Biden was greeted by fellow leaders with warmth and even a bit of relief.

Trump routinely berated other NATO countries for not spending enough on defense and even threatened to pull the U.S. out of the world’s biggest security organization and  questioned the mutual defense provision of the NATO charter, a central tenet of the alliance.

The alliance also updated important Articles  of NATO, to offer greater clarity on how the alliance should react to major cyber-attacks — a matter of growing concern amid hacks targeting the U.S. government and businesses around the globe by Russia-based hackers.

Beyond extending the potential use of the Article, mutual defense clause to space, the leaders also broadened the definition of what might constitute such an attack in cyberspace, in a warning to any adversary that might use constant low-level attacks as a tactic.

The organization declared in 2014 that a cyber-attack could be met by a collective response by all 30-member countries. The president started his day meeting with leaders of the Baltic states on NATO’s eastern flank as well as separate meetings with leaders of Poland and Romania to discuss the threat posed by Russia and the recent air piracy in Belarus, according to the White House, NATO leaders  declared China, a constant security challenge and said the Chinese are working to undermine global order, a message in sync with President Joe Biden’s efforts to get allies to speak out with a more unified voice against China’s trade, military and human rights practices.

There is no doubt  that China’s goals and assertive behavior present systemic challenges to the rules-based international order and to areas relevant to alliance security. The warning to China comes as Biden has stepped up his effort to rally allies to speak in a more unified voice about China’s human rights record, its trade practices and its military’s increasingly assertive behavior that has unnerved U.S. allies in the Pacific.

FINAL THOUGHT. No nations benefited from the gathering. Except Coronavirus ,the world is not facing major political crisis.

 

 

 

HANGING JUDGE AS PRESIDENT OF IRAN(updated)

BY K P PASWAN

It happened long ago in Iran, in 1979/1980, when Raja Shah Pahlavi, the autocrat king, with progressive mind, succumbed to the pressure and uprising of religious fanatics and the Islamic Republic of Iran was borne. Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who spend long period in Paris, returned to Iran to impose the decrees of an unproven GOD. He was an insulin diabetic patient.

 In the bloody French revolution, Robespierre, a revolutionary, played an important role in inciting violence against the supporters of executed king and his family. Under his order hundreds of Frenchmen were executed, and when he failed in his mission to end the anarchy, he was captured and executed. Robespierre, known for his cruelty, was afraid of his death and tried to save his life by hiding in a room, but he had to meet his destiny. Ruhollah Khomeini was an exact replica of Robespierre.

Ayatollahs Rohilla Khomeini received the best treatment of Diabetic in France, but his God failed to save or cure him from the deadly disease, for which there was no potential drugs, which are available today. Credit goes to the late Shah of Iran, for not playing the villainous role of Robespierre, by executing Ayatollahs in France, who enjoyed the luxury of western life, which was not available to majority of Iranians.

After dethroning the king, it was the turn of neglected Ayatollahs and Mullahs, who formed some sort of Jacobin’s club, founded, during revolution in France, and started executing those people, who were loyal to the deposed King. Iranians believed that Ayatollah Khomeini was the Imam, who disappeared more the eight hundred years ago and has resurfaced to enlighten them. Along with Rohilla Khomeini,also emerged, Ayatollahs Ibrahim Raisi and one Ayatollahs Khalkhali, who became famous as Hanging Judges. One Aryana. who happened to be an ardent devotee of Ruhollah Khamenei, was executed by the order of Ayatollah Khalkhali, simply because Aryana was foreign minister of the deposed king of per-revolution Iran. In 1983 Ibrahim Raisi alone ordered the execution of more then 5000 innocent Iranians for which US, sanctioned him.

Iran is one of the richest countries of the world, it is also a Shiite majority nation, with rich cultural and political history. During the autocratic rule of the late king, there was much progress in education of men and women. King of Iran neglected the religious leaders, which ultimately led to his downfall. Ayatollah Ruhollah Khamenei, in a way, inherited an Iran, which was economically prosperous, and to some extent, free from the economic exploitation by Western countries.

 All the Ayatollahs of Iran are  hated by educated Iranian, who are addicted to satellite phones, internet and modern system of communication. Being a Shiite nation, it has no Wahhabi or Salafi to export and  poison the world, so modern Iran is supporting small Sheikdoms predominated by Shias. Iran is also exporting  its own brand of terrorism, to neighboring countries, but especially to Palestine, who are Shias and opposed to the formation of Jewish state. It proposed a separate statehood for the Palestine, but the proposal has lost gravity among Muslims states, who are mostly Sunnis, and perhaps for this reason, Israel will not allow the formation of a Palestine state, which will be hated by Jordon, Iraq and small Emirates, whose very existence would be threatened by Iranian backed Hamas and Hezbollah.

After painful death of Ruhollah Khomeini, there followed the rule by Supreme Religious Leader Ayatollahs Ali Khamenei, who succeeded Ruhollah Khomeini. Supreme Leader is elected for life by a council of lunatics, numbering less than 100. These lunatics are religious preachers, opposed to western culture including freedom, given to women.

 This is a unique feature of modern Iranian political system. Anyone aspiring to contest for the presidency must be cleared by a Guardian Council, another body of religious fanatics. A president is democratically elected, and he is certainly not a ceremonial head, but a puppet of Supreme Leader, who is ultimate authority in political and religious matters.

What is more surprising is that after death of  Ruholla Khomeini, his son and grand son, become reformists and were deprived of political power. But Iran is a politically conscious country without any rigid religious ideology like Wahhabi and Salafi, which are flourishing in Saudi Arabia. Iran elected two liberal and tolerant presidents Khatami and Rafsanjani, who tried to cultivate friendship  with the West, but US remained hostile to Iran and covered Saudi Arabia against imaginary Iranian invasion of oil rich Saudi kingdom.

Ahmadinejad was an Iranian president with waired political ideology. He was hell bent on destroying Israel and aspired to make Iran a nuclear power. But it is doubtful if Ahmadinejad ever talked of wiping off Israel from the face of the earth His hard-headed religious thinking failed to reduce the Iranian’s love for modern education.He underplayed Holocaust and funded the terrorists of Palestine, supported the Shiite revolution in Iraq, Houthi of Yemen and idolized the president of Syria who is a devout Shia of Alwite sect.

HOLOCAUST. The old Middle Eastern view that the Jews exaggerated the Holocaust to rationalize formation of Israel and subsequent brutalities against the Palestine, has long underlain the Islamic Republic’s hostility to Israel’s presence in the region. But it took Ibrahim Raisi openly describes holocaust as myth and  questioned the fitness of such countries like Germany, France and Austria, where holocaust denial is a crime, to lecture Iran on freedom of Speech.

   Now Raisi is an elected president of Iran, but his influence and actions over strategic decisions, especially in foreign affairs and nuclear deal is constrained by the untrammeled power of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

BIDEN & RAISI. Strange it may sound, but there are reasons to believe that Biden and Raisi may reach some kind of political understanding. US has a long history of maintaining friendly relationship with autocrats and dictators of the world. The Democrats in US are generally anti-Semitic. An independent Palestinian state will be only hostile state, which Israel will have to deal with.  US is committed to defend Israel in case of attack by enemy, but that is not going to happen even in distant future. Israel would never concede to an independent Palestinian state, unless its sovereignty is guaranteed by Palestinians and that is not going to happen. Israeli PM, Naftali Bennett has already called Ibrahim Raisi, a butcher of Tehran.

 US’s aim is to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear state, and that is going to materlise with conditions,favorable to the Shiite majority nation. Ibrahim Raisi is also successor of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and is in a position to know that Israel would destroy Iranian Nuclear reactors even without US help. In the early decade of this century, preemptive strike to knock out Iranian nuclear reactors was not possible. 

Recently, Israel attacked NANANTZ, an Iranian city, known for enriching Uranium and demonstrated that the Mossad, can cross one thousand kilometers to reach Iran, even without the help of US, and cause mayhem. Iran has good diplomatic relations with France and Germany, so Ibrahim Raisi, already sanctioned by US for human rights violations, may not face hostility while dealing with US.

HAMAS. It is difficult to create a united Palestinian state without the cooperation of Hamas, an organization, flourishing on drug trafficking, smuggling and above all funding by Iran. Most of the Palestinians are Shias by faith and there is no love lost between Sunnis and Shias. Palestinians are divided into two groups, one section faithful to a discredited Mahmud Abbas, who enjoys friendship of US, Egypt, and Jordon, while Hamas has the backing of only Iran. So besides funding terrorists’ organizations like Hezbollah and Hamas, Iran under Raisi may tilt more and more towards Syria and Iraq and Yemen. Iran is not in a position to lead the Islamic nations, consisting  mainly of Sunnis. Iran’s traditional rival Saudi Arabia is no more a sworn enemy of Israel and credit goes to former PM Netanyahu to bring more and more Sunni majority states closer to Israel.

 There are sufficient reasons to believe that Ayatollah Khamenie is fed up with economic sanctions and is afraid of Israel's capacity to strike Iranian nuclear reactors.  With change in political landscape in Central Asia, a willy but certainly not mad Ayatollah Ali Khamenie has realized that Iran cannot lead the entire Islamic world. US wants safety of Israel, but unlike Donald Trump, Joe Biden is following the policy of appeasement to Saudi Arabia, and almost all the leading Islamic countries are helping Israel secretly as these Islamic states are reluctant to accept the supremacy of Shias in political affairs of Middle east. Ayatollah Ali Khamenie in his early 80s may find deal with Joe Biden, no so difficult to achieve.

An economically prosperous Iran is necessary to neutralize Saudi Arabia in economic  and military development. There is practically no manufacturing activities in Saudi Arabia and its economy is dependent on earning from oil. It is also seen that Iranian migrants in US and Canada are not terrorists, they are opposed to Saudi Arabia, known for glorifying Wahhabi, which has no place in Iran. Iranians women in US and Canada do not observe strict Islamic code of conduct, and Iranian women are progressive. Immigrants from Saudi Arabia and other Sunnis majority states are seen as potential terrorists by FBI and  they are not trusted.

Ibrahim Raisi  is trying to prove, that by heart he is anti US and anti Israel. But he also knows that with Russian and China's help, it would be suicidal for Iran to wage a war against  US or the Jewish state. Iran wants nuclear arsenal to frighten its traditional rival Saudi Arabia, and certainly not to cause mayhem in Central Asia.Iran has tested the fruits of economic prosperity and democracy. Most of the neighbors of Iran are Sunnis dominated states ruled by autocrats with limited freedoms to women and common people.                 

LAST THOUGHT.Iran is a great country, eager to modernize its society.Former presidents Khatami and Rafsanjani were reformists, eager to cultivate friendship with West, but failed as Saudi Arabia created strong firewall to prevent US from coming closer to IRAN. A nuclear deal with Iran does not risk isolation of Saudi Arabia and other Sunnis dominated countries, but instead may bring peace and tranquillity in  the middle east, that will be a big achievement in a bi polar international politics.

 

 

KILLER, IS NOW A WORTHY ADVERSARY.(updated)

BY K P PASWAN.

US called Russia an enemy, who needs to be contained. Biden called Putin a killer, but changed his words in Geneva, he called Putin, a worthy adversary. So just concluded meeting between two powerful men on this earth, point to a new era of cooperation between two super powers. Both Joe Biden of US and Vladimir Putin of Russia, represent different nations with different political ideology. Joe Biden has democratic ideas in his DNA, but is handicapped by the astronomical rise of China, which is neither a democratic country nor open to liberal democratic institutions. Russia, on the other hand heralded the era of semi democratic  ideology, in the hope that its success  in modern Russia would result in a happy and prosperous country.

Before evaluation of Vladimir Putin, we have to examine the political and economic  conditions of both US and Russia.

 In the decade of 1960, Russia, formerly known as USSR, challenged US in every sphere like space, nuclear technology and military strength. It appeared that Soviet Union was going to rule the earth. But human race  are conscious of their survival instinct. If we study the history of political thinking, from time immemorial, we find every political ideology died prematurely. When James Monro, the American president defined democracy, it means for the people by the people and of the people. In his period, there were criminals but no gun’s culture. There was need to protect the human rights of honest people and criminals were to be punished. In the 21^st century, human race is experiencing different kind of political ideology. In the name of human rights, maximum protection is called for criminals and habitual laws breakers, while law abiding citizens of every democratic country fear for their life.

 American cite the example of Russian dissident leader Alexei Navalny, who is this man? He is a known economic offender in Russia, and wrongly thinks himself, a replacement of Putin. Navalny was convicted twice for economic offenses. He is also one of the richest men in Russia. A few months back Navalny accused Putin of poisoning him. He was treated in Germany, returned home, but was arrested and as per Vladimir Putin, Navalny wished his arrest just to invoke international sympathy

USSR collapsed in 1991 simply because foundation of communist ideology was weak and not sustainable. By choking of individual freedom and by killing innocent people,USSR invited tremors, which was difficult to control and Soviet Union vanished. Boris Yeltsin was the first president, who inaugurated a democratic Russia. Both US and Russia have enough nuclear arsenals including Neutron bomb to destroy this earth. Russia is no more a super power, but still carries weight in international politics.

 China has emerged as an excellent economic power, but its manufacturing activities are based upon natural resources, which are fast dwindling.  US and Russia are rich in natural resources including oil and gas. One of the reasons of the fall of USSR was neglect of agriculture, it was so because cultivated land was taken over by the government, as theorized by Karl Marx. From Lenin to Brezhnev, achieving supremacy in military strength, was the only way to capture the world, but this was a day dream, never going to fulfilled.

Coming to present days, Joe Biden talks about violation of human rights, but human rights violations in US are overlooked. Every fortnight some Blacks are being killed, in most cases killed person is either a habitual trafficker or psychopath. Then US always support laws breakers all over the world provided if criminals commit crimes which somehow serves American interests.

 CLASS OF TITANS. Joe Biden and Vladimir talked about Cyber Attack and Russian adventurism in Ukraine. Cyber attack is the latest weapons in the hands of a few advanced countries. China is notorious for Cyber Attack, followed by US and N Korea. Cyber attackers from US, enjoy immunity as IT sector of US is highly advanced. Recently Chinese and North Korean Cyber thugs tried to hack Covid related technology to manufacture vaccines. There is no doubt that Russian hackers target defense system of US,  but there are efficient ways and means to check cyber-attack, India is perhaps the  worst victim of cyber-attack of China. So cyber attack must not be the concern of only US, but of entire world. There is need for constant dialogue between IT giants. With progress in IT sector, cyber attack is likely to increase and become menace of a civilized society.

PUTIN. There is little doubt that most of Russians are better off today, after Putin came to power, but his presidency has done little to boost Russia’s standing in the world. Putin has presided over a catastrophic shrinkage of Kremlin’s power. Russian’s authority over its former satellite states have grown much weaker. Putin still has very much the power broker in Central Asia, thanks in large parts to Russia’s monopoly on energy exports. Instead of building bridges with the new regimes, Putin chose to pick fights with almost all of its neighbors. in 2006, spat with Ukraine over cheap Russian gas supply, which culminated in a gas cut off to Ukraine—and by accident the rest of southern Europe. This is the root cause of tension between US and Russia.

 Further afield, Russia’s reputation has slipped disastrously so badly that in the wake of 2006 poisoning of KGB defector AlexenderLitvenko in London, and Russia’s refusal to extradite his killers, Putin closed down office of the British Council. Even Germany, Russia’s biggest trading partner,  under Angela Merker has grown wary of over dependence of on Russian gas. But for Germany there is no alternative. Putin’s last gambit – to threaten to point nuclear weapon at Ukraine, if it joins NATO, suggests he is running low on ideas on how to revive Russia’s power.

 Possibly the most important legacy of Putin’s period is the restoration of respect for the office of the presidency. His iron will and Swiss-watch mind have allowed him to restore respect for presidency. On the other hand, Putin did not promote the growth of democratic institutions, as Russians are still not ready to accept new reality, which is necessary for long term stability. Putin will not allow, Navalny to take undue advantage of restricted freedom of speech in Russia.

UKRAINE. The former Russian ally is eager to join NATO, as this country is afraid of Russian attack. Interestingly several small nations, which once formed the parts of USSR have joined NATO and EU. But honestly speaking, Russia has ceased to become a threat to NATO and it has lost its relevance, there is no place for absolute honesty in diplomacy. NATO has become a terrible financial liability of US which is spending 70% of total expense, for maintaining security of member states and taking advantage of American generosity, country like Germany is utilizing American money in expanding its health infrastructure. Donald Trump virtually forced Germany and France to increase their defense budget. NATO has no other business, but to fight the religious based terrorism and every member is more than eager to use US money for fighting the terrorism, then to fight the imaginary Russian threat.

 Ukraine is notorious for arms smuggling and is supplying sophisticated arms to terrorists and Palestine, so no country wants entry of Ukraine in NATO. Here Joe Biden may be praised for raising the problems of Ukraine with Russia, as US itself does not want UKRAINE to disrupt the arms supply by US to its allies in Central Asia. In a way Western Europe is not threatened by Russia, but entry of Ukraine is likely to raise eyebrow of several political heads, as this country has a history of border dispute with Russia. President Biden may say ‘America is back’ but the question is for whom? Certainly not for Ukraine but certainly for Russia.

 LEGAL SYSTEM AND GUN CULTURE, coming to human rights violations, there is hardly any doubt that US is worst victim of GUN CULTURE. In a way second amendment of US constitution. makes it as fundamental right to purchase deadly guns, and there is little that Joe Biden can do, unless Republicans support tightening the sell of killing machines to criminals. Blacks in US, out of contempt are called Nigers and judgements in J Simpson and George Floyd case reveal the legal conundrum,

ELECTION RIGGING. It is fundamental to modern system of universal franchise. In US, whether Democrats stole the election as alleged by former president Donald Trump is a matter of investigation. But the US election was heavily rigged. Unauthorized and illegal migrants contributed to the defeat of Trump, so accusing Putin of rigging election is surprising.

 JOE BIDEN is a tolerant Catholic and an experienced politician. As a Democratic Senator, he suggested the division of Iraq into three sovereign nations, but the proposal was rejected by warring factions in Iraq. But it appears, he is under pressure from his own party to do certain things, which he finds not in the interest of US. He sends his VP to Guatemala, where, she exhorted people not to enter US illegally.

ECONOMY. Coronavirus has led China to emerge as an outstanding economic power. India, Brazil Argentina. and Japan are no longer in the race to challenge China, Origin of Coronavirus is no longer shrouded in mystery, everybody knows the source of funding and manufacturing the lethal virus. US has also suffered badly due to outbreak of Coronavirus. America’s recent growth figures have been so positive that Joe Biden has allowed himself to marvel with mass vaccination.

Improvement in American economy is the culmination of a yearlong trend, in part, that should have reflected strength of global economy. But we do not know much about stagnation of Russian economy. Despite of successful launching of Sputnik V and Sputnik lite series of vaccines, Russia is yet to contain the pandemic and unless the Coronavirus is hibernated, there is no hope of complete economic recovery. So, American’s supremacy of economic progress over Russia remain unchallenged. Russia is rich in natural resources and in future it may pose a serious threat to Chinese economy, which is based on currency manipulation, and a disciplined banking system. So negative thinking of Biden about Russian economy is like blowing a hole in the political landscape.

 PUTIN AND XI JINPING. Joe Biden is right in saying that Russia wants closer tie with US as Russia is being squeezed by China, But US has already been badly squeezed by China. XiJinping has claimed Russian city of Vladivostok as Chinese territory, but direct confrontation with Russia will led to China’ economic disaster, so squeezing both US and Russia, is the potent weapon in the hand of China.

FINAL THOUGHT. Putin—Biden meeting was more fruitful then G 7 gathering. China cannot be contained unless US and Russia cooperate with each other. Biden, very soon is expected to deal with new Iranian president Ibrahim Raisi, who has been sanctioned by US. Ibrahim is also known as Hanging Judge along with one Ayatollah Khalkhali, whose whereabouts is only known to Langley (C.I.A). It is virtually impossible to predict the happenings in international relations. US will retains its supremacy in political and economic affairs. EU will face serious problems with small countries, once parts of Soviet Unions, these countries are predominated by Muslims and they are in no mood to assimilate with liberal society of Western countries. In fact, entire EU has become hostage of religious based terrorists. US may need Russia to neutralize these enemies of democratic countries and above all Russia may help US to contain China as a leading economic power of the earth.

ENVOYSPEAK, DEPARTURE OF NETANYAHU, AN AGE OF UNCERTAINITY.(updated on 20th Jan)

 

By K P PASWAN.

President Biden of US was quick enough to congratulate Nastali Bennett, as the new PM of Israel, Mr Bennett happens to be one of the richest men of ISRAEL, and is rightly called Donald Trump of Israel. But his position as PM is unpredictable, as he does not enjoy comfortable majority in the Knesset. Biden did not speak to Benjamin Netanyahu, the longest serving PM, for the last one month and was, perhaps afraid of every step taken by Netanyahu against Palestine.

Netanyahu has been accused of accepting bribes and is likely to be convicted. He is reported to have second view about himself and may accept his offence to avoid spending sometimes in prison. He will be lost in the crowd.

 Years back, Iran was called a Messianic Cult by a handsome Jew. The biblical concept of Messianic cult means wiping off the Jewish state without showing least mercy. It also means, worse than a devil. The handsome and young Jew who called Iran as Messianic Cult, was none other than Benjamin Netanyahu, who became the PM of Israel. But his tenure was marked by corruption, lust for power and scant disregard for judiciary. As an executive head of only Jewish state, credit goes to Netanyahu to check the Messianic cult Iran, from sending terrorist to Israel to create troubles.

The Jews has suffered from the day when they appeared in Jerusalem. Certain practices like business activities of the Jews in an orthodox manners. led to extreme hatred towards the Jews, which is well reflected in Shakespeare’s Antonio and Shylock. But history has been very unkind to Jews, they suffered at the hands of Arabs, the Turks and all those who occupied Jerusalem in different period of history of the world. The Jews occupy respectable positions and for some misdeeds committed by a few merchants, they must not be treated like untouchables of India. Some of the well-known scientists including Albert Einstein, won Nobel Prizes for their wonderful works, belonged to the Jewish community. After the end of colonial era and the end of second world war, the small Jewish state was created and with its  creation, we find the creation of Messianic cult, determined to wipe off Israel.

Nastali Bennett has formed an unstable government. So, election loom large, Bennett and his supporters have already chosen campaign strategy. New PM is a right-wing leader with no feeling for the Palestinians.  More and more Israelis hated Netanyahu who was in power for more than ten years. His critics feel vindicated, they predicted that Netanyahu would find an excuse to remain in power and violence in Gaza provided that excuse.

Bennett’s inexperience and his so far largely inarticulate intentions leave everyone guessing, if there is a prevailing opinion, it is that Mr Bennett will not have the flair, authority, or perhaps even determination to carry forward the structural improvement in Israel’s economy, wrought by conflict in Gaza. What authority can Mr Bennett muster, it is suggested, will dwindle as defeat loom large for his ruling political coalitions in next election. Netanyahu is bound to claim his lost glory, mired by corruption.

It is feared that Naftali Bonnette, a hard liner by instinct will try to distract the Israelis from a dismal domestic record by gratuitous nationalistic provocation of Iran and Syria. But there is more hopeful prospect that Mr Bennett representing a generational change, pushes forward reforms at home and reaches for a bigger role abroad. In foreign policy he looks like relying on fellows’ conservatives like himself. He is a gentleman and very rich, world-class diplomat and innovative thinker. Nevertheless, all these positive qualities, cannot hid the stark truth, despite his good intentions, he could prove to be a disastrous PM, if he does not quickly realize that he is the PM of a state with so many haters and a few real friends.

 Benjamin Netanyahu, as a PM of Israel, virtually changed the politics of Central Asia in favour of Jewish state. No Islamic nation in and around Israel think wiping out Israel from the face of the world, except Messianic Cult, that is Shiite nation Iran. Netanyahu’s contribution to Israel in every aspect of political and economic life cannot be underestimated. He had seen the rise of hard headed and paranoid president Ahmadinejad of Iran, who openly downplayed the Holocaust, took steps to make Iran a nuclear power state and challenged Saudi Arabia as a super Islamic power. Ahmadinejad cultivated friendship with several European leaders including political heads of France, PM of Great Britain and Angela Merkel of Germany and tried to isolate Israel diplomatically and economically.

 Ahmadinejad was regarded as the most dynamic and conservative president of Iran, this becomes crystal clear when he virtually forced Barack Obama, the president of US to agree to nuclear deal with Iran, which was against the interest of the Jewish state.  Netanyahu was not in a position to challenge the might of US and tried to isolate IRAN and to some extent, he succeeded.

 Democrats in US are not friendly to Israel for several reasons, which are difficult to elaborate. US aimed at preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear bomb by all means, but dialogue with Iran was chosen as an effective weapon to bring Iran to the negotiating table. Preemptive strike to destroy Iranian nuclear reactor was not preferred as the failure of Jimi Carter to release the American hostages by striking the building, where hostages were kept, ended in abject failure and Carter lost an opportunity to secure second term for W.H.

The US under Joe Biden do not have an effective policy for dealing with Iran’s continuing efforts to gain nuclear capabilities and in absence of Donald Trump, IRAN may acquire all the major components of a nuclear weapon, including fuel and detonators, but refrain from actually assembling as it fears Israel may attack and destroy its nuclear arsenals. A few years it was an impossible dream, but Netanyahu succeeded in creating strong network of spies and is in a position to attack nuclear reactors in Iran, and in one instance, Israel has shown its ability by attacking Natanz.  US has not outlined a concrete strategy in the event that talks with Iran fails

Pro Palestine do not want to recognize that the worst enemy of Gaza is HAMAS and certainly not Israel. Is there anything Israel can do that will draw condemnation from the West? Hamas is not just a terrorist organization ready to collapse. The prolonged campaign carried political cost for Netanyahu.  Israeli govt assault on Gaza has managed to minimize civilian casualties. But if Shia militias are unleashed by Iran, another bout of sectarian killing might ensue. Moreover, an enhanced role for Iran backed militias would weaken the Jewish state by boosting Hamas. Its brigades already display factional flags run several secret prisons by extorting money at gun points at check points and are engaged in drug trafficking and smuggling of arms.

DESTRUCTION IN IRAN. As PM for a long time, Netanyahu built up net works that still give him  influence. From judiciary to civil service to parliament, many in Israel’s upper echelons owe him their positions. Elements of Netanyahu’s right-wing coalitions were agitating to annex parts of West Bank in the belief that Joe Biden administration would reverse a long-standing American policy opposing Israeli’s settlement in territory it occupied in 1967.

Naftali Bennett leader of the right-wing Jewish Home Party says, he will propose a bill to extend Israeli sovereignty West Bank, arguing that the new American administration offers a unique window of opportunity to redraw the map. For first time in 50 years, we have to decide what we want---a Palestine state in Judea and Samaria or an Israeli law replacing military laws where Israeli citizens live. Mr Bennett believes that he and his colleagues must press Mr Biden to recognize the settlement as permanent, at his first meeting with Biden.US under a Democrat president is unlikely to concede the demand.

 After eight years of friction with Barack Obama Mr Netanyahu was the first leader to meet Trump who scrapped Iran Nuclear deal and declared Jerusalem as capital of Israel, But with Democrats in power, Bennett cannot expect unconditional support from Biden. US is also handicapped by unpredictable incidents, Joe Biden will have to choose between two devils Saudi Arabia and Iran. Biden does not have much choice. Americans can win the battle for occupation of the Red planet, but they cannot allow two devils to act against US and give an opportunity to Putin to mock US. Netanyahu successfully caused destruction to Iranian Atomic plant at NATANZ, which was virtual impossible for the pentagon, even to think of attacking the Natanz, The MOSSAD proved that in ultra-modern and sophisticated spy system, CIA is not a match of MOSSAD. US killed Iranian General Soleimani in an air attack, but most famous Iranian Nuclear Scientist Fakirzade, was simply bumped out without causing civilian causality by Mossad. For Bennett, it will be a battle for survival in which Biden is hardly in a position to help Israel and the Jewish state knows how to survive.

 The Democrats in US believe that legally Israel is not entitled to annex the West bank and don’t support the building of new settlement there---the steps that would rule out the possibility of a peace deal on the establishment of Palestine state next to Israel, Worst of all Joe Biden’s administration will be able to overrun a resolution that may embolden International Criminal Court to act over settlement. Now the Jewish state may be further isolated

The right wing scanted an opportunity in legal problems facing Netanyahu who was questioned by police over fraud and graft allegation This was one of a number of corruptions probes into his financial affairs and Netanyahu was suddenly vulnerable.

Nastali Bennett will try to annex Malle Adumin a city , controlled by HAMAS and funded by Iran, which would virtually cut the West in two, making it impossible to establish in the future a viable Palestine state. Delaying tactics and ambiguity had been the twine hallmarks of Netanyahu premiership and is not likely to change with the advent of Nastali Bennett.

Iran must be worrying with coming of Bennett and exit of Netanyahu, who frightened Ayatollah Khamenei. Fortunately. Now the Iranians nasty supreme religious leader must be worrying more about a new nuclear deal with US. Coronavirus has taken heavy toll both in Iran and US. US finds itself standing in front of China not like a solid rock, but pleading the dictator Xi japing for more flexibility in international politics. Russia does not like Joe Biden and Russia is certainly not going to see Israel being threatened by US’s friends in Central Asia. Russia is far advanced in technology then Italy UK, and Canada, but was not invited in the G 7, which was criticized by China as small groups of nations trying to dictate the politics of the world, China is right in its criticism of G 7, but Russia has so far refrained from condemning nations forming the so called G7.

 FINAL THOUGHT. Netanyahu successfully vaccinated entire population of Israel and earned the goodwill of entire world. He would be remembered for frightening Iran and cultivating friendship of Islamic nations, who now secretly recognize the existence of the Jewish state. Netanyahu come back cannot be ruled out, but his comeback will be a setback for Biden administration