Envoyspeak. PANDEMIC OF UNVACCINATED PEOPLE.

BY K P PASWAN.

It appears that in near future human race on this unfortunate planet is not going to witness real pleasure in their lives. It is because the country, which first reported outbreak of Coronavirus is a leading economic power and and is openly challenging the powerful US.  Leading Virologist Antony Faucy and  Dr Peter Dazsk,  of US, were advocating complete lock down to contain the Delta plus variant of Coronavirus in countries, where there is no sign of marked improvement. Now they have changed their tones and are advocating restrictions, which unfortunately are also not proving beneficial. New variant of Coronavirus known as Delta plus is highly contagious and strike unvaccinated people with lightning speed, forcing hospitalization and in death.

HIV AND ANTHONY FAUCCI AND CORONAVIRUS.

 There is an intimate relation between HIV and Coronavirus as the man who promised effective treatment for HIV is now a leading authority on Coronavirus .Anthony Fauci, the leading Virologist and advisor to the president of US  did not emerge all of sudden.He emerged when HIV threatened US and several eminent persons died of HIV Death of eminent persons coincided with emergence of Fauci. Let us have a glimpse of persons who succumbed to HIV.

ROCK HUDSON, was the name of a famous Hollywood star, who died of HIV in the decade of 1980. With the death of Rock Hudson, there emerged a young doctor, who promised treatment, including a vaccine for HIV. That young doctor in US is still alive and is known all over the world as Antony Fauci.  It is possible that before Rock Hudson, many people might have died of HIV, but Rock Hudson’s death was aired throughout the world. HIV was the most talked subject among the doctors, as this disease frightened the entire population of the earth, pharma giants started doing research as a way to find a cure. But soon the doctors realized that HIV was not caused by virus, so manufacturing a vaccine is not going to end this disease, and they were right, as even after a gap of more than sixty years, there is no permanent cure available for HIV. We do not know the exact number of causalities due to this illness. but a large number of imminent persons succumbed to this dreaded disease. Arthur Ash was an ace badminton player of US, he received blood transfusion from a HIV person and  died.

Meanwhile Vatican announced to the world that HIV was sent by GOD to punish the offenders. But Faucy is a brilliant scientist and soon joined the group of scientists, advising the president of US on the medical issues. The HIV was playing havoc with the lives of certain groups of people and the origin of the disease was discussed in detail and poor monkeys of Democratic Republic of Congo were held responsible for transmitting HIV to human beings. Whole of Africa was infected with HIV and even today maximum number of HIV patients are found in Africa.

With certain guidelines and by using antiviral drugs, managing the infected HIV patients is possible. In US, it is presumed that a large number of Blacks and Hispanics are suffering from HIV. Scientists succeeded in prolonging the life of a HIV patient without improving the quality of life. The disease is rampant in some African countries. In the course of time majority of HIV patients died and few survivals, suffered from bipolar disorder

 Antony Fauci is certainly not a very famous doctor of infectious disease, but he knows, how to manage bad times by turning the table in the right direction. This strategy has worked in his favor as is evident, by his presence in the White House since 1980, it does not matter for Fauci, whether the owner of the Oval Office is A Democrat or Republican.  Expensive Antiviral drugs are available for the unfortunate HIV patients and they enjoy certain rights in democratic countries which are not available in other nations, Meanwhile Vatican has refused to accept new reality and continued to regard HIV being sent by God to punish the transgenders.

 Fauccy kept low profile, busy in doing research, either beneficial or not beneficial to human being.  Nothing was known about Fauci before the outbreak of Coronavirus, but suddenly, he emerged with Coronavirus and declared three cardinal principles to defeat the Corona. (1)Wear Mask, (2)Maintain Social Distance and(3) Washing Hands frequently, surprisingly these principles are being followed all over the world.

  Faucci met his final match in Donald Trump, who in the beginning of outbreak of Coronavirus, treated it like another variant of Spanish flue, which ravaged US in 1918. It appears that Donald Trump was not aware of American funding of famous Wuhan Institute of Virology in China.  US, funded the famous Lab in China, which is being accused of manufacturing  coronavirus without the knowledge of Antony Fauci. This is known as Conspiracy theory which is yet to be proved.  Somehow Trump smelt the conspiracy and was soon, seen in action, he abused Faucci calling him as an incompetent, but refrain from firing him, as it is possible that China might have accused, US of funding the Wuhan Lab for which the Chinese Govt is claiming Nobel Prize for doing research relating to pandemic.

 Antony Faucci like many other Virologists were not much optimistic of vaccines within short times. So many common drugs like HCQ(Hydroxy Chloroquine), Azithromycin and a few others were given to patients and these patients recovered, forcing Donald Trump to declare HCQ as game changer. Fauci had his own opinion and when he asked for reasons, for not warning Donald Trump, he is reported to have told the CNN correspondent, ’You cannot expect me to jump before the microphone and push the president away”. But with departure of Donald Trump, Fauci expected reward from Joe Biden. The New president retained Faucy as the leading advisor as Fauccy was an opponent of Trump. Biden appointed Rochelle Walensky a leading medical expert as his advisor on Coronavirus, she now calls the shot.

Departure of Donald Trump was coincided with approval of mRNA-based vaccines by FDA. With more than 90% efficiency, Joe Biden did not require the advice of Faucy and relied upon groups of competent epidemiologists to contain the pandemic. After mass vaccination, educational institutions were ordered to be opened, Fauccy jumped and advised 2 ft social distances with mask covering face and nose of students. President overlooked the suggestions and declared no mask and no social distance, and schools were opened with dire consequences.

But new phase of Coronavirus pandemic has pitted the speed of Virus against the speed of human responses. The contest is the Delta plus variant vs vaccines and prevention, in races playing out over and over in communities across the planet. US offers a grim lesson for what happens when the race is not run, the most powerful political head of our solar system appears to be helpless while facing the new variant of the lethal virus.

It’s looking more and more likely, vaccines prevent most asymptomatic infections. Evidence has accumulated that vaccines protect against catching the coronavirus, whether or not a person once coronavirus needs a fresh host to reproduce. That’s why cases are spiking in patchwork patterns, across the globe throughout the pandemic. First a region flares up as the virus spreads through the community. Once there are no more vulnerable people — either because they have been already exposed or adequately protected by vaccination — the pathogen fizzles out.

 Each new phase of the coronavirus in Australia and Israel offer two different examples of the way’s countries are responding to the delta coronavirus variant. The variant, Delta plus is playing havoc in US, South Africa and in Australia, triggering a lock down in affected cities and mask mandates and increased restrictions in other cities that had, till now, are relevant. There’s been a level of complacency and we’ve been living in a very gilded cage. No political head on this earth had foreseen such a catastrophe. At the time of departure of Donald Trump, US witnessed causality figure about 275000 thousands, but after six months, America crossed the figure700000, but nobody is accusing Joe Biden of mishandling the pandemic.It is to be noted  that three effective vaccines along with wonderful monoclonal anti-body cocktail were manufactured in USA. Most of the Blacks and the illegal migrants are afraid of vaccination, because of vague fear. Blacks are also not coming forwards to get tested for Coronavirus. There is reduction of life expectancy of Blacks and Hispanics which run between 2to 3%.

 In Israel, the main defenses against delta plus, will be the country's vaccinated population, not government-mandated precautions, officials say. The government in Israel has offered booster shot to vulnerable people, who have been vaccinated, but are being reinfected by new variant. One of US's final restrictions, an indoor mask may mandate in a few places, where infection rate is alarming. Indoor masking was never favored, in places where positive rate is below5%. 

 In US, there's a wide gap in the vaccination rates of residents who are White and of those who are Black or Hispanics. Fifty four percent  of Americans are fully vaccinated. Still unvaccinated people, mostly Blacks and Hispanics are dying as they are reluctant to get jabbed. White people in the country have received at least one dose of a vaccine, close to the 52 %. Low vaccination rates are not unique in entire world. In UK, situation is somewhat different. After mass vaccination, it was believed that UK would soon become free from lethal virus, but suddenly there was surge as new variant known as Delta plus was detected. This new variant is highly transmissible and the hospitals in UK were swarmed with patients infected by new variant. But there was no stoppage of vaccination and in a dramatic twist, Delta variant has been controlled, making the idea of booster shot less important. US is keeping a close eye in the procedures adopted by Britain US may follows the British ways of handling the crisis. 

 Deaths from the coronavirus continue to raise despair and alarm, despite the slower-than-desired immunization. Australia, SA, UK and Israel offer two different examples of the way’s countries are responding to the delta coronavirus variant. The variant has emerged in every country of the world, fueling the opinion that Delta plus may be the last episode, before pandemic is hibernated or eliminated.It has been observed that Pfizer mRNA was 33% effective against symptomatic infection from the Delta variant after the first shot, in the two dose- series, but 88% effective after second shot After all, in clinical trials, the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines were neck and neck (95 percent and 94 percent efficacy, respectively) in terms of preventing symptomatic infection from covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus. 

As far as J&J, it may provide about 72% protection. It has sought approval for a booster shot from FDA. Effectiveness of mRNA vaccines differ from country to country and in absence of uniformity in data, it is impossible to pin point the most effective vaccines in the world.

In India, there are two vaccines, Astra Zeneca and Covaxin have shown extraordinary effectiveness in containing the virus.Antony Faucci has expressed the apprehension that if another variant other then Delta variant is detected then existing vaccines have to be modified. Existing vaccines are effective but not perfect.

  Only way to tame all the variants of Coronavirus, is to make the lives hell of the unvaccinated people. French president is following this principle. EU is bound to follow the same. After all it is a race against time. Unvaccinated people must not be allowed to pose danger to human race.

Omicron is the new variant, which was detected first in South Africa and with lightening speed became dominant strain in US,UK, France, Germany and other European countries. Mercifully Omicron is less lethal than Delta Plus and it has been contained in its birth place that is South Africa.

FINAL WORDS. Coronavirus is now a pandemic of the unvaccinated people.

 

 

FACE OF INDIAN PARLIAMENT.

BY K P PASWAN.

Parliament in any democratic country plays an important role in shaping the laws, which are beneficial to majority of people. In a free democracy every citizen, irrespective of caste,  creed and religion  enjoy universal voting rights, and member of parliament are elected by common people, accountable to common people. Parliament has its origin in Britain, from which it spreader to other parts of the world. When President James Monroe of America defined Democracy, as by the people, for the people and of the people, he had in his mind the British system of parliamentary democracy. At that time parliament in Great Britain was in different form, but the members had greater say in running the administration. Perhaps it was United States of America, which introduced an effective system of electing representatives to the Congress. American constitution is not a lengthy book. Constitution is enshrined in a few pages. United Kingdom does not have a written constitution and British parliament follows rules and regulations as per certain conventions.

 India was a colony of Britain for a long time. Before the entry of East India Company, India was divided into thousand of small principalities, having their own rules and laws which were to be followed by common people, there were certain big royal states like Mughal, Nizam, Marathas, Sikhs etc, but there was not a united India. Rulers of these small states were lazy louts, living in luxury in a fast lane and thrived on war with neighboring states. For a while, the Mughal had in their possession large swath of the land, but the Mughal empire was in constant turmoil owing to palace intrigues and sectarian conflicts.

East India Co, brought and introduced in India, certain democratic principles which ultimately resulted in common laws, enforceable and executed by traders. When East India company started conquering weak principalities, these laws were further modified to include laws relating to criminal offenses. When entire India fell in the hands of Britain, then United India also emerged and certain common laws were introduced throughout the country,

Not going into details of historical facts, we must acknowledge that Independent India Act of 1935 is the central point of our parliamentary democracy. There are demands by certain section of educated but misguided people, that rules made during the colonial era must be repealed, but they desist themselves from suggesting alternatives. Under Sedition Laws Mahatma Gandhi was arrested ,but after departure of the British, retention of these laws is needed, until new laws are introduced, based upon changed conditions. This is not going to an easy task as the conditions of Sedition still loom large.

 Indian parliament consists of two houses, Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha. Members of Lok Sabha are directly elected by people for five years or when Lok Sabha is dissolved, if no political party forms the government on its own or with support from other parties (Coalition Govt), while members of Rajya Sabha are elected not directly but by some other methods in which horse trading is an important method to woo the members of opposition group.

It was 26^th Jan1950 that India as a republic came into existence. Pt Jawaharlal Nehru, the first PM of independent India was a towering personality of his age, and one of the most influential leaders in the world. Functions of two houses of parliaments were never questioned and some of the serious debates were seen in the lower house with dignity and decorum. There is no record of shouting and counter shouting and adjourning or stalling the house on flimsy ground. There is no record to say that the PM was not allowed to speak by the opposition. Situation began to deteriorate after 1967, when the ruling Congress Party began to loss popularity, Election of member to the lower house is not based on merit and honest image of a politician who aspires to contest the election. He may not survive a person who is also contesting, glorifying his caste and creed. As per reports prepared by Election Commission, every political party is sending politicians of criminal background to parliament, and serious discussion in parliament is rarely seen. Even some of highly qualified members of parliaments with impressive degree from foreign universities are seen making noises on less serious matter.

CHARACTER ASSASSINATION. With tragic assassination of Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi, there is no charismatic leaders to make lasting impression, perhaps most of members of parliament are swayed by caste considerations and with a little help from criminals, they are in a position to tarnish the image of parliament. It appears that the opposition or the ruling party have developed, the strange habit of indulging in character assassination of each other. Bo fores and Raffle defense deals are glaring example. Rajiv Gandhi was really a Mr Clean, but the opposition, falsely accused him of accepting kickbacks even after knowing that Bofors gun was the most effective weapons against the enemies and no kickbacks were involved. Commissions, without which no international trade is possible were paid and such payment  cannot be called  kickbacks and bribes.

 Bofors deal is still being debated by the opponents to malign the late Rajiv Gandhi. It is most pertinent to note that modern system of international trade allows commissions or discounts, without which trading activities cannot be carried away, now pendulum has swung into opposition direction. Raffle Fighters aircraft manufactured in France is regarded far better war aircraft than Mirage and even Russian Migs. Paying commissions is legally allowed, but here the opponents of prime minister is accusing him of adopting corrupt practices. Ruling party at the centre is notorious for anti-Dalit stand, but the main opposition is also encouraging communal ism and caste ism. Narendra Modi may not be an excellent PM, but he is one of the most admired and honest PM in the world. He is conducting administration in a rational manner. So, the main opposition party is making the same mistake which was, once made by the opponents of Rajiv Gandhi, who was ruined by his coterie of corrupt friends otherwise, integrity and honesty Rajiv Gandhi cannot be questioned on flimsy ground.

PEGASUS. During the Munich Olympic, the German Intelligence exposed its incompetence  and allowed the Jewish sportsmen to be slaughtered in a most horrendous killing. But German counterpart MOSSAD in Israel, the spy network of a tiny Jewish state, virtually surprised the world when Golda Mair the PM of Israel with the help of her spy network, killed every terrorist, involved in Munich killing of Jewish sports persons. Now with advancement of IT technology, there is mushroom growth of spy networks, but they have not done anything like the incidents,which happened during Munich Olympic. Every advanced country is involved in Cyber-crime which was discussed in detail during G 7 gathering in Britain. Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin dwelt upon the security issues being targeted by the hackers, China has emerged as a leading nation involved in all types of cyber crimes. Satyanarayana Nadella, the Chairman of Microsoft accused China of hacking MS technology including Window11 and China denied the allegations, but the fact of the matter is that Window11 is available in China, even before officially introduced in open market’.

 Phone tapping is not a new thing in India, but phone tapping has never led to scandal like Watergate in India. PEGASUS, a spy network of obscure origin ( probably Israel based) tapped the phones of a few ordinary journalists and politicians of no importance. Their names have been published with such zeal as if they are new angels, who will save India from pandemic and usher in a new era of economic prosperity. But the fact of the matter is that these conclusions are figment of imagination and an excuse to create ruckus in parliament over trivial matters. Here it will not be out of context to mention that Watergate type of scandal is happening in India regularly and no politician has met the fate of Richard Nixon.

FEKU AND PAPPU. Who is FEKU and who is PAPPU, does it matter?  But real fact is that both are ordinary mortals. In a parliamentary system, Pappu may replace Feku and vice versa but the country cannot be ruined by Pappu and Feku. In the name of personal liberty. those who use these derogatory words should be forced to stand before a court of law to explain the meaning of these two words.  Unfortunately, there is an overactive judiciary to defend certain groups of people in the name of protecting fundamental rights. Inventors of these two words are either schizophrenic or neurotic who cannot sleep as democratic character of India will not allow them to sleep. It is also seen that a particular Chief Minister, who is in the habit of abusing the PM, has only one political agenda at hand and that is free electricity up to 200 unit, provided if consumers vote for his party. Another young political leader, much liked by certain section of politicians is an inventor of lies. Even the Apex court has warned this politician for spreading and manufacturing lies and this politician is aspiring to become the next PM of India.

STRANGE WORLD OF CYBER SPYING. CEO of Facebook, Twitter and Google have faced the searching questions by the Senators and Congressmen in US, but the shouting Brigade as seen in Indian parliament exceeded and crossed the boundary of decency when they openly washed dirty linen of each other in public. Instead of asking the reasons for inclusion of impressive number of SC MPs as ministers by the current PM, they wanted to discuss, the issues relating to farmers as it is known that Indian Farmers attracted the attention of Mia Khalifa who is a notorious strip teaser and Greta Thunberg, whose wealthy parents are bent upon creating grounds for a Nobel prize for the teenager. Nobody on this planet except Mia Khalifa and Justin Trudeau, the macabre PM of Canada, support the demands of Indian farmers. The oppositions are supporting the farmers as this is a novel way to oppose the present PM. Greta Thunberg has dissociated herself from farmers, when she realized that her purpose will not be served. The general election is not very far away. Modi’s popularity and the Farmer’s genuine problems shall be tested in UP assembly election. The present body of farmers are mostly from Punjab and UP, farmers of other parts of the country give damn importance to these farmers, who have become super spreader of lethal virus.

 Credit goes to BJP for engineering the Shouting Brigade in parliament, when this party was in opposition. Non-BJP politicians are simply following the same principles, but there is a difference, BJP used to shout at the entire government, but the opposition is shouting, targeting a single person named Narendra Modi.

SECULARISM is the one word liked by all but practiced by none including the leftists. In West Bengal, at the time of Assembly Election, there was large number of defectors, who defected from the so-called anti-Hindu party in power to pro Hindu political party in opposition. After election pro Hindu political party made impressive gain in the assembly, but a few of defectors, originally faithful workers of anti-Hindu political party left the pro Hindu party and returned to anti-Hindu political party. Such type of defections is taking place all over India. There is no real meaning of secularism, when caste predominate political ideology and try to deprive the Dalits of their rights given by the founding fathers of constitution. This is the real face of secularism in India. A highly qualified woman member of Lower House from West Bengal hit the truth by telling” You are Hindus because Muslims are here, if they go, than India will become a land of Brahmins Kshatriyas, Vaishyas, Shudras, Dalits.

LIMITS OF PARLIAMENT DEMOCRACY.

The Apex Court in the famous Goloknath and above all in the case of Keshwanand Bharti, ruled that parliament cannot change basic character of constitution, but the highest court of the country did not elaborate the concept of basic characters. However, by close examination of some of the demands raised by elected members belonging to opposition, whether they are anti-Hindus anti-Dalits or pro Hindus, openly assault basic character of the constitution. There is only one binding force among them and that is anti-Dalits.

FINAL THOUGHT. Parliamentary form of government is the most sacred and pious democratic institution bestowed upon us by great founding fathers of the constitution. For thousand of years India by different names, in different times suffered from foreign invasion. These were the darkest period as there was no democratic freedom and running of administration depended upon the whims of the corrupt rulers. The British united India and for the first time and everybody enjoys universal franchise, unheard in majority of the sovereign nations of the world. Sanctity of parliament must be preserved at all cost and the shouting brigade, irrespective of political affiliations must be discouraged from disrupting and stalling the proceeding in parliament

AND FINAL WORDS.

Once this blogger was in most glamorous service with no power. Left the service due to tragedy.  During pandemic, thee was a lively debate in Texas (US). I was also there. They were debating over CAA. As per general opinion, CAA was beneficial in certain parts of India, but in other parts, its implementation needed further clarifications. There was unanimous opinion, that in absence of CAA, type of laws, India was going to become another EU (European Community) within 50 years

 

 

 

 

 

ECHO OF THIRD WORLD WAR.(updated)

BY K P PASWAN.

 

Meeting between Joe Biden, and Vladimir Putin in Genoa, set the stage for their most passionate argument relating to cyber-attack. Within fifteen days of summit, the world witnessed political drama which may be called as show of strength.

CLEAR AND PRESENT DANGER. 

“Sinking of British Royal Destroyer will not lead to third world war, so call back your destroyer." Putin warned to Britain, after Britain send the Royal destroyer in the Black Sea, most probably instructed by Pentagon, to express solidarity with Ukraine, which is desperate to join NATO, but opposed by Russia, as it fears surrounding Russia with hostile countries with nuclear arsenals. Interestingly, no EU member supports the entry of Ukraine either in EU or NATO for fear of economic considerations. This incident happened after few days of meeting between Biden and Putin in Genoa.

Second world war was fought, when colonialism was breathing heavily. Hitler was bent upon destroying the Jews by all means in fact it was Germany which  suffered beyond repair. Churchill, the war time PM of UK was suffering from bi polar disorder, but his strategy, paved the way for victory of the allies’ power. US emerged as a monster, threatening the entire world with dire consequences, if they go against the economic and political philosophy of US.This declaration was made by US Secretary of State, Faster Dulles.

Economically entire world in general and the European nations in particular suffered badly by Second World war. US resorted to economic charity by introducing Marshall plan and New Deal to help its allies. S Truman, president of US cultivated friendship with, Stalin the strongman,  of USSR, which emerged as a potential challenger to capitalism. Stalin resorted to a different type of expansion of communist ideology, through out the world and in the process, USSR was turned into a Black Hole from which no information escaped.In international politics, it was called as Iron Curtain.

 Human race has a strange instinct of survival. It is said that in the British empire, there was no sunset.  After the end of second world war, Commonwealth of nations, headed by British monarch remained a strong binding forces between nations, which were once colonies of Great Britain. NATO founded to protect western countries from USSR and NATO acted as a strong shield against any attack sponsored by Stalin.

 Another poor and underdeveloped country, China under Mao introduced cultural revolution and started expanding its influence in a different way. It successfully projected the real face of poverty, widely prevailed in African and Asian countries and held the colonial powers responsible for exploiting the underdeveloped countries. Mao was right in his philosophy. China needed help from capitalists’ countries, mainly from US to boost its economic and manufacturing process, for which latest technology was essential, USSR had excellent technology to explore the space and produced deadly weapons of destruction, which led to cold war, as the West was frightened, but these technology was not beneficial to China.

 Now there are sufficient  reasons to believe that Communist USSR never offered, these technologies to China.

 US president Richard Nixon along with his brilliant diplomat and the author of Détente era diplomacy, Henry Kissinger visited China in Feb 1971 and the world changed. Nixon’s visit to China heralded a new era of strategic and economic cooperation between capitalists and communists. USSR was an unstable conglomerate of small countries with different religious and cultural backgrounds, which were forcibly occupied by Lenin. Sooner or later USSR was bound to collapse like house of cards. USA was eagerly waiting for the golden moment which was not far away.

 After Stalin’s death USSR made rapid progress in space and nuclear technology  and equipped its war planes with nuclear arsenals, so much so that fear gripped the western countries that USSR was set to rule the world. But Marxism is a strange political philosophy and some of its edicts violate the principles, set up not by any political thinkers of the past, but by nature itself, like freedom of speech and survival instinct. China, though remained Communist country, but compromised ambitious projects of turning entire world as fiefdom of Marx.

 China began to progress slowly and with the import of latest technology from Western countries, its economy distanced itself from the basic philosophy of Marxist ideology.

USSR collapsed and  Russia emerged as an economically weak country, unable to attain self sufficiency in food grains and modern medicines. It is no longer a super power, standing at per with US. It is struggling to improve its economy by proper use of its vast natural resources. It is still superior to China in space exploration and will never exploit natural resources of underdeveloped countries, while China, despite of its outstanding economic growth will have to depend upon imports of raw materials from other countries. 

Some of the journalists and leftists’ intellectuals in India view China as very rich in natural resources, but that is far from reality.

China is also witnessing revival of Tibetan form of Buddhism and this has led serious sectarian conflict with the Uighur Muslims. Tibetan form of Buddhism, which is based on a particular form of Upanishads of Hindu philosophy, is being  revived in Japan and Taiwan Revival of this peaceful religion may antagonise followers of other religions and West is likely to spread false propaganda against China, and may denounce China as an intolerant country. These western thinkers are already accusing India of being bias in religious matter. It must be recognized that vulgar type of secularism is found only in India, but this cannot cause a world war.

SCOPE OF THIRD WORLD WAR. Local issues predominated in the first and second world war. Every country involved in these two world wars was a colonial power, competing with each other in plundering rich Africa. Hitlers desire to eliminate the Jews, was the core issue for which some of the participating nations were secretly helping Hitler and they are still followers of Hitlers antisemitic ideology. A large number of Americans, French, German and British are still antisemitic as per one report, prepared by American think tanks.

ROLE OF RUSSIA. US is bent upon humiliating Russia, but it is not going to serve the interest of US. If Russia is not given an equal status, then it means catastrophe. The millions of people belonging to erstwhile USSR are still living in abject poverty. Putin has played his hand well, splitting his rival US and his, ally China. Russia has no territorial ambition and has no philosophy of terror to export. Communism is fading away, paving the way for a democratic Russia. Putin has learned much lesion from the astronomical rise of China, which is still not a free democratic country. Restricted freedom of speech and suppressing corruption among the newly rich business house like Alibaba has contributed to an improved quality of life of common people in modern China. Vladimir Putin will try to isolate US in key areas, like Eastern Europe and the Middle East. But Russia will never participate in a war, where it has to face US.

PAKISTAN. This country is no longer needed either by US or Russia as Pakistan is not going to serve their purpose.Despite of Taliban's takeover of Afghanistan, Pakistan is  not going to achieve international goodwill. With arrival of a torrent of Chinese aid, Pakistan’s battered economy is beginning to recover Surprisingly Pakistan is also facing crippling blockade by Islamic nations including Saudi Arabia. Strict enforcement of Sharia based laws have no effect,t but the minority Shias, Ahmadis Muslims and left-over Hindus are the worst victim of a theocratic Pakistan. It has huge nuclear arsenal, but it cannot nuke its traditional rival India, as it will be crippled within hours. No Muslims countries will send army to fight India on behalf of a country, glorifying religious terrorism. Military backed Imran Khan will continue to export terrorists to India. Pakistan’s isolation means it has devised darker ways to bring in foreign capital, in absence of which smuggling of narcotics, particularly crystal meth, counterfeit pharmaceuticals and currencies are likely to increase.

TALIBAN, represents groups of fanatics who do not believe in democracy. Surprisingly Taliban has dissociated itself from Uighur Muslims of China, which reflect shift in its ideology. Emergence of moderate Talibans do not augur well for a theocratic Pakistan,  which, has succeeded in establishing a pro Pakistani Govt in Kabul Any way Afghanistan, with or without Talibans is not going to cause world war. Taliban has established control over Afghanistan, With its medieval  religious philosophy, Afghanistan is fast becoming hub of extremists like ISIS. Al Qaida and some unknown religious terrorists. Pakistan, in the long run is likely to suffer heavily as mass exodus of Afghans refugees in Pakistan is likely to have bad impact upon its economy.

  EU. For member countries of EU, there is nothing left for plunder in rich Africa. With spread of education and internet, most of the African countries with vast natural resources are slowly moving towards democracy, which means trouble for former colonial powers. UK remained till second world war as the most infamous plunderer of economics of third world. Churchill  was a racist, hater of India and under him UK was able to sustain a prolonged war as British industries were flourishing at the cost of Africa. With loss of colonies, Britain is no longer in a position to stabilize its dwindling economy and Nepolian was right in dubbing Britain as a nation of shop keepers.   British handling of its economy has to be watched carefully.  In any widespread war Britain will side with US, as its economic interests is likely to serve better

UK has been the most opportunistic country in the world. This country will go to any extent to keep the past glory intact. Capt Nelson was not a great British commander. He was a ruthless pirate of the Caribbean and helped Great Britain in times of financial crisis. It was Nelson who defeated France. If UK smells financial gain in any type of war including a world war, it will gladly participate, as is evident, sending its Destroyer in the Black sea just to please US. It has not learned any lesson from Falkland crisis.

 Middle East cannot and shall never be a cause of third world war. Entire middle east is dependent upon oil which helped several Islamic countries to modernize its economy as well as exported  religion-based terrorism, but oil cannot generate more employment as is evident from influx of refugees from central Asia to west. Plenty of oil and natural gas have enabled Muslims countries to create infrastructure for better housing and health facilities, but many countries which used to import oil from the middle east have become self sufficient and the demand of less oil has led to sharp decline in oil prices. Oil money is also being used  to spread terror and purchase of sophisticated weapons from the west and US to indulge in local war just to exhibit its military strength. War in Yemen, Syria and Iraq bear testimony to this strange combination of politics,religion and economic prosperit

IRAN.Iran is poised to acquire nuclear arsenal, just to frighten its rival Saudi Arabia and certainly, preparing the ground for third world war. Economically, Iran is suffering from American sanctions. Ayatollah Ali Khamenie is afraid of Israel since the days when MOSSAD caused mayhem at Natanz and assassinated Iran's tip nuclear scientist. Iran is causing troubles for its rivals and cannot be a cause of third world war.

 The balance of economic power in the world changes, must not be balance of political power changes too. In Asia, China’s rise has helped push India and Japan closer to  the United States. Economic power is not the same as political power. Most developing countries are still militarily pipsqueaks. Before the outbreak of Coronavirus, rise of China was supposed to be balanced by the rise of India, but that race is almost over, China has no potential rival except US and to some extent Russia. A world in which most people enjoy prosperity and opportunity is certainly better than one in which 80% are mired in economic stagnation and corruption. No alliance of  interests bring all these very different countries together in the way that history and culture  have united Europe and America

South China Sea is a grave military concern for small countries bordering China. China is not traditionally developed country. China has threatened to nuke Japan on the issue of Taiwan, but China can only make noises. It may not be difficult for US to sanction China, which is more deadly than nuclear weapons and US is employing political and economic sanction to punish its opponents and serve its political and economic superiority without participating in any kind of war. US is bound to defend Japan in case of attack by any country. If for some reasons US fails to act in time, then Japan has the capacity to inflict excruciating pain to China and in any case, with or without American, Japan will not allow Chinese missiles loaded with nuclear arsenal to cross the peninsula.

 We have to take up the situation in Europe once again to explore the possibility of creating circumstances of world war. UK is facing disintegration. If once again referendum is held in Scotland, then formation of a sovereign Scotland cannot be ruled out, in that case UK may turn out to be a small state with week economy. Post Brexit UK violated fishing laws which was challenged by France. Only Germany is in a position to sustain its economic growth against all odds.  Most of the profit-making German’s MNCs are stationed in China and in underdeveloped countries of Africa and Latin America.

EVALUATION. “US would cease to be a super power by 2040, and the politics of world would be taken over by criminals, involved in drug trafficking and  religious terrorism, Neither Russia nor China would be able to control these war mongers. This prediction was made by a group of American political scientists which included former retired generals and political scientists.  The manner in which drugs lords and religious lunatics are being pampered in democratic countries, reflect shape of things to come. Otherwise there is not even scant hope of third world war. Russian warning to British Admiral to withdraw the British Royal Destroyer may be treated as wake-up call for peace loving people all over the world. 

FINAL THOUGHT. Only two political figures of contemporary world, Imran Khan, the PM of Pakistan and Kim Jong UN of North Korea talk of nuclear war. But these two political figures cannot dictate the world. Pakistan and N Korea are unable to provide basic facilities to common people.Vietnam war, Operation Desert Storm, war in Afghanistan and war against ISIS were deadlier than first and second world war. Human race has survived Coronavirus, but Homo Sapiens will not survive climate change and third world will never engulf this planet.It may be treated as figment of imagination.