A SPINELESS U.N.O AND THE WORLD.

 

 BY K P Paswan

 Donald Trump the former president who is again in the race for the WH once described the UNO as obsolete and a picnic spot.   After the end of WW2 there is no peace in the world and fruitless wars like Vietnam, Kuwait, Iraq and Afghanistan were fought and at present bloody wars are going on full speed in Ukraine and in the Palestine. After the collapse of USSR, cold war also disappeared and the world entered into an era of bloody conflicts. Before there was no globalization of terror but now  terror outfits are here there and every where and what is surprising they are mutating at an alarming speed. We may divide the operations and functions of the UNO in three parts.

From 1950 to 1965 was an era of different type of conflicts. Korea and Germany were divided and  and Japan was bounded by a defense treaty with the US. Colonial powers were declining and newly independent states were clamoring for more foods and freedom. The world was divided into two camps. The Communists were working under the rule of politicians like Stalin of USSR followed by Khrushchev and China was under Mao. There were small countries like Albania, and Cuba with impossible dreams, there were a few more Communists like Romania and undivided Yugoslavia. Opposed to communism were countries like the US, UK and the European countries like France, Italy and a few others.  Former colonial powers were losing their economic stability and the newly freed nations were impressed by the false propaganda of communist countries.  India under Pt Jawaharlal Nehru remained the chief spoke person of those countries known as the non-aligned countries supporting neither USSR nor  the US

The UNO was working in the interest of the world but its functions suffered owing to creation of Security with five permanent members having power to any proposal not liked by either the US and USSR. In a way the UNO received jolt when several security organisations like NATO, CEATO, CENT, the Warsaw Pact and a few other security organisations were founded.  The UNO was becoming helpless as these defense organisations protected its members from being grabbed by Communists. The USSR reached agreement with communist countries and the birth of Warsaw pact was witnessed. Formation of these defense treaties greatly undermined the authority of the UN O. What is the worse that major part of the cost for the maintains of the UN was borne out by the US which emerged as the richest country in the world. There are several organs of the UN like WHO, International Court and other important organisations depended upon the US for survival. CUBA CRISIS. In 1962 Khrushchev was the strong man of the USSR. He was an experienced hand who worked with Stalin but was not violent. His over ambition resulted in the infamous Cuba crisis. At the request of Fidel Castro, the president of Cuba the USSR deployed nukes and other dreaded missiles in Cuba and the Soviet Union was in a position to encircle the USA and virtually threatened its sovereignty. In the month of Dec1961 the USSR successfully tested thermos nuclear bomb known as the Tsar Bomba with capacity to lampoon savagely the US. Kennedy was the president of the US and it appeared for a while that show down between two superpowers was inevitable.

 If we look  back over the Cuban crisis  we know  we escaped  devastation , but at the time of the Cuban crisis  we were really on a hair  trigger, and only through the responsibility  and good sense of Kennedy and  Khrushchev  and their advisors that  we avoided catastrophe. The nuclear power of the two military giants Russia and the US have the explosive equivalent of   one of the US Air force ,s daisy cutter bombs for each inhabitants  of the US and Europe Utter devastation would have  resulted had this all gone off. UNO T remained a mute spectator and failed to express the opinion of the world.

The threat continued till the end of the Cold war. But looking a century ahead we cannot expect  the present political assignment  to stay constant  In the last century Soviet Union appeared and disappeared  and there were many regional wars. Finally Soviet Union disappeared in 1990 and Russia emerged. F we survive the climate change than within one hundred years, since nuclear weapons cannot be dis invested Even we don’t consider the nuclear threat alone than there is severe  chance , perhaps 50% chance , of some catastrophic setback to civilization by deadly conventional weapons. , there is quite expectation that  that there will be another stand off  as fearsome as the cold war era , perhaps involving  more participants  than just two  and therefore more unstable.

The UNO in its present form is a white elephant. At present there are more than 53 Islamic nations, some of them oil rich while majority of them suffer from poverty and lack of modern education. These people are being guided by their religious scriptures and cannot tolerate open democracy. But surprisingly they are swarming to western countries and are disturbing social and political system of the hosting countries, Emergence of right-wing politics may be attributed to such migrants. We fear Crusade type of genocide as the radicals among Muslims are bent upon creating their influence in western countries. UNO instead of setting guidelines for them is openly siding With them even if these radicals indulge in terror activities. The terms like genocide, slaughter and horrendous killings have no meaning in a society which is bent upon surviving against all odds. Recently the Secretary General of the UNO has been sanctioned because of siding with Iran a country known as the chief source of finance for major terror outfits in the middle east. It is the first instance and is not going to end unless reforms are initiated to make UNO more

INDIA,CHINA AND THE US.

 

By K P Paswan.

It is not only difficult and impossible to predict the outcome of the American presidential election. But whoever wins he or she will have plenty of works to do. But most important will be relations between the US and China Xi Jinping has heralded a new era in global politics. New POTUS will try to project the American strength while calling for close cooperation on

If Trump occupies the Oval Office than he will realize that the Chinese authoritarian capitalist model is not supposed to survive in a global free market and China is not only distrusted but hated for its Gift Trade Trap. But he has to acknowledge that China is the single most powerful economic actor in the global economy and the US was responsible for the rise of China by sacrificing Japan. But he will have solace that in a new global order China cannot thrive Sooner or later China may be  need  fundamental political reforms , in absence of which China cannot  sustain its state capitalist system. While the US economy remains the world’s largest, China’s ability to  to use state owned companies to boost the party’s domestic and foreign  influences ensures that the emerging giant  is on track to surpass US within ten years The US is hardly irrelevant. The dollars remain the global reserve currency , a privilege  that will likely  last for decades to come. Wealthy Chinese are purchasing lands in the US and their presence in California on large scale  is being disliked by majority of Americans as the Chinese are the largest group of illegal migrants. For the American Russia and the US are competitive rivals and Russia must not allow to cross the limit of a Regional power. But Russia has never claimed as a Superpower and after the end of Cold War Russian economy is in shamble. It is fighting an expensive war in Ukraine and due to rich in oil and natural gas its economy has not collapse and on the contrary it has withstood the American sanctions and has hypnotized the entire world

n>

More space for India is needed. There is apocryphal story  that the present Indian PM visited a country which is also a member of EU. He visited  a site where the workers were building a canal, He asked his host why the workers  using shovels and wheelbarrows rather than modern equipment, he was told that the project's purpose was to generate jobs. Time has changed but the reality remains  that  it is far easier for Modi  to command Indian officials  to create and protect jobs New Delhi offers  direct financial and political support for its strategic industries. Xiaoping protects  Chinese companies charged with  stealing the intellectual property of  foreign firms. No such protection is granted in India

At the same time leaders of other  emerging power  with a strong democracy like India  is following China’s lead in  building system  where government embraces  commerce while tightening control over  domestic policies 

 Slow and steady growth of economy in India  must not be overlooked. By toppling the Modi government  the US and its allies assume that the long arc of  human development bends  towards liberal democracy but what if they are wrong in the context of India.

The level of protection is important in an age  when the most important  variable globally  will be the pace and  and scale of technological change. Technological upheaval is poised  to displace  hundred of thousands of workers  in the developing world  including many  who only recently  risen from poverty, India may be cited as an example. Modi's government finer control  of its economy  will help absorb  some of the shock  that will have bigger effects elsewhere.

 A few American economists have termed the Indian economy as joke as they are inspired by a former governor bank governor of India who made mess of Indian banking system. an Indian American is the president of the World Bank and he does not indulge in gibberish talk of Indian economy  India is overpopulated and highly polarized. 

India and the US are neither rivals nor competitive enemies. US is witnessing many developed countries with awe and wonder. Economy has become multi polar and China which was actually made by the US is posing serious threat to US hegemony. Fortunately China is not a Superpower and is not in a position to disturb the balance of power.In order to maintain its status as the only Superpower the US cannot tolerate stable government based upon democratic principles. Entire Latin America is at the mercy of the US. With the collapse of USSR, Africa is confused. China cannot be trusted and former colonial power UK has become economically sick. Africans are migrating to European countries for better future but irony is that these immigrants are not welcomed in the European countries as majority of immigrants follow a religion alien to European countries. India may play balancing act in several fields. Illegal immigrants from neighboring Bangladesh is presenting alarming political and economic situations but there is no fear of large scale immigrants from Africa and Latin America. India is exporting hard wares, medicines and foodstuffs to different countries of Africa and there is no dissent against India. India has friendly relations with oil rich Islamic countries and the only and chronic problem for India is Pakistan a bankrupt and self proclaimed theological country with Nukes under its possession. Pakistan is unlikely to get away from heavy external debt till dooms day. Rich Islamic states are fed up  with extending financial help to Pakistan. The US may use Pakistan to foment trouble in India and in Iran. At the same time the US wants a credible  friend if not an ally and India is proving a friend of that nature. In the past Russia rescued India from many humiliations but changing dynamics of diplomacy demands closer tie between India and US and that is happening.

 In the Ukraine crisis India remains neutral despite of the facts that Ukraine supplied deadly arms to Pakistan to kill Indians. American sanctions have failed to cripple the Russian economy as almost every member of EU is indirectly helping Russia to violate sanctions. Russia is a winning position in Ukraine even though it suffered several setbacks. But the end of Ukraine crisis depends upon dialogue between Putin and Zelensky and India has taken initiative to  bring Russia and Ukraine on the negotiating table. With change in guard in the WH we may expect an end of Ukraine crisis.

 

The world may have replaced uni polar world and a few political scientists are fond of calling the world Multi polar. But it needs elaboration. As the US remains the only superpower 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

\

IRAN FIGHTS WITH ISRAEL

 

 By K P PASWAN

At present we are witnessing certain features of new global order. A section of people want to know whether we are heading for a world war. They are mostly confused and thinks that global war means a nuclear war without realizing that Hiroshima and Nagasaki cannot be reenacted and in a new global order even the beggars and bankrupt have nukes. These beggars can glorify but cannot use Nukes as launching of these Nukes mean certainly self-destruction. In the case of N Korea Japan and S Korea will not allow N Korean Nukes to cross the Korean peninsula and in the case of Pakistan, launching of Nukes against means birth of two new nations  taken out from the large swath of the Islamic country.

So, forget about global war and think about regional wars which are going to be frequent in coming years. We are witnessing two regional wars. Ukraine crisis is no more talked about loudly as Russia is virtually racing ahead and Ukraine is sinking. Second regional war is strange and interesting. Groups of terrorists are fighting a tiny nation of Jews. Two groups of terrorists namely Hezbollah and Hamas are fighting with Israel. It is said that from the date of its birth Israel has never lost a war with these terrorists and their supporters and that terrorists have never won a war with Israel. What is strange is that Iran an oil rich and a Shia majority state is funding and sheltering the terrorists to fight Israel and as a consequence terrorists are being butchered like animals causing clinical depression among terrorists and inflicting excruciating to bigots of Iran who are investing in war the outcome is a forgone conclusion.

It is alleged that Israel is committing genocide of Palestinians, but the bigger question who are being killed? And the answer is that terrorists are meeting their ends as predicted, War of attrition is going on between Iran and Israel, since all wars are like hell so it does not matter who are being killed by whom. Iran during the period when monarchy prevailed was a prosperous and religiously tolerant state, The last king was progressive but ahead of his time. The late king of Iran crushed the bigots with merciless cruelty. On the contrary Kemal Pasha crushed the religious preachers in a different way. Kemal simply asked the religious leaders to keep themselves in religious preaching and leave the administration in the hands of civilians backed by the army. In this manner Kemal Pasha was more successful than the monarch of Iran who became an iconoclast. But we have to examine the economic factor in crushing the religious leaders in both the countries. In comparison to Turkey Iran is rich in oil and gas. Americans and the western countries are applying advanced technology to explore oil and gas. In absence of other minerals, the monarch of Iran had to oblige the US and UK to plunder the oil and gas of Iran while Turkey became a member of NATO in order to protect its territorial integrity from the USSR and other countries. But Turkey remained a sick man of the world.

< /p>

 A few religious living a luxurious life in Paris launched agitation for toppling the Shaha and establish a regime operated by bigots and fanatics. The late Ruhollah Khumanie created hate against the king so much that common people were ready to die for religion. The abdicated and left Iran at the mercy of bigots who introduced Tribal laws and in the name of religion mass execution of innocents were followed. Any one being suspected of a supporter of the deposed king met gallows. One particular Ayatollah named Ayatollah Khalkhali became famous as hanging judge. Ayatollah Ruhollah  hallah Khomeini was an insulin  independent  diabetic but his religious ideas were so strong that he openly advocated genocide of those opposed to rigorous religious rituals. His supporters also spread the rumors that Khumanie was the same Imam who disappeared thousands years ago to save his life and surprisingly a vast majority of Iranians believed this revelations. And by the time Khumanie dies Iran was a self-declared theological state based upon strange and cruel laws. The late king encouraged education among women and initiated several welfare measures. Modern Iran was built by a ruthless but a broad hearted king.

Iran show down with Israel started as a result of the deposed king’s close proximity with the Jewish state. Small groups Shia Muslims were active against Israel in Lebanon, a Christian majority state. New leaders concluded that opposing Israel would lead Iran to lead the Islamic world as Israel mercilessly defeated Islamic nations in declared war. By Oslo Accord certain understandings were reached between Israel and the Palestinians but an organization known as Hamas opposed the accord and made commitment to erase Israel. This terror group was funded by Islamic nations which suffered at the hands of Israel. In Egypt the Hamas was known as a younger brother of Islamic Brotherhood. Later on Egypt realized the   futility of war with Israel and reached an agreement with Israel. Later on Kamp David Agreement came into force. This agreement was signed by Arafat and the PM of Israel. Unfortunately, the belligerence of Iran and the bellicose utterances of certain Shia leaders removed any scope for peace and the terrorist outfit of Shia Muslims known as Hezbollah was formed. Iran started funding Hezbollah and the Hamas and thereby escalating regional tension. Belligerence of Iran turned entire Middle East into a killing field. It is meaningless to ask in the middle east  Who started the fight. Hamas and Hezbollah unleashed war of terror. Israel retaliated by eliminating terrorists and the civilians who were used as shield by terrorists. Since it is for survival for Israel so this country has become aggressive but its faith in democracy has earned silent support in several Islamic states  No Islamic state wants a sovereign terror state as their neighbor and privately these Islamic states rejoice the victory of Israel over Hamas and the Hezbollah. These two terror organizations have carried several terror attacks against the US and Israel in different countries.